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The college football world was wishing for a March Madness type of feel for the first-ever 12-team College Football Playoff, with upsets galore. Instead, the 4 first-round matches underwhelmed, supplying a lot of time for holiday shopping. Favorites went a best 4-0 versus the spread, including three relatively non-competitive performances by underdogs Indiana, SMU and Tennessee. Sportsbooks and the general public don’t seem to think so. A minimum of in two cases.
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Both Penn State-Boise State and Texas-Arizona State feature double-digit spreads favoring the lower-seeded Nittany Lions and Longhorns. And the latter has actually been an especially popular choice with the public. The Longhorns -12.5 is the most-bet side at BetMGM nationally in terms of overall dollars since Monday afternoon.
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"All the cash is can be found in on Texas,” Seamus Magee, a BetMGM trader, composed in a text to The Athletic. “We require Arizona State to cover +13.5.“

The enthusiasm for the Longhorns encompasses the futures market too. Bear in mind that massive $1.5 million wager on Texas to win everything at +390 chances? The ticket is still out there at Caesars Sportsbook.

Interestingly, the Longhorns’ challenger, Arizona State - the most significant underdog among the College Football quarterfinal matches - is getting the most enjoy from sharp bettors. The Athletic talked with a number of bookies who had taken sharp action on No. 4 Arizona State - which had actually gotten as high as a 14-point underdog at some books against No. 5 Texas - to press the line down to -12.5 or -12.

John Murray, the executive director at The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, informed us he received a wager on Arizona State +13.5 from a “really reputable gamer.“

Even though respected cash has actually come in on Arizona State to cover, sportsbooks will likely require the Sun Devils to do just that, as public bettors are stacking on Texas.

"We would enjoy to see ASU cover, and then Texas win the video game, so we get our Arizona State liability off the futures book,” Magee included.

While the Texas game will be substantial for the books, it isn’t the only video game in town. We chatted with multiple bookmakers to break down where the wagering action is on the other three College Football quarterfinal matches. 6 Penn State (-11, 53) at No. 3 Boise State

This video game opened Penn State -10.5 at most sportsbooks and has sneaked up somewhat to an agreement of -11. sports betting on the spread is relatively divided at many sportsbooks. The total dollars wagered varies by book, as 52% of bets and 79% of the cash at BetMGM nationally are on Boise State -11, while 56% of bets but just 42% of the cash at DraftKings is on Boise State -11.5. Penn State to cover is currently the second most popular CFP wager in regards to overall tickets at BetMGM books.

"We opened Penn State -10.5 and are sitting on Penn State -11,” Thomas Gable, sportsbook director at The Borgata in Atlantic City, informed The Athletic. “I wouldn’t be shocked if this line approaches a bit more before kickoff, but I presently welcome any Boise State cash.“

Ohio State got the Oregon second opportunity it desired. Are the Buckeyes ready for revenge?

No. 8 Ohio State (-2.5, 55.5) vs. No. 1 Oregon

Perhaps most surprising to the general public is that No. 1 seed Oregon is an underdog against No. 8 Ohio State. These groups fulfilled back on Oct. 7 in Eugene, and Oregon won 32-31 as a 3.5-point home pet.

So why is OSU preferred?

Several oddsmakers The to before the CFP first round had Ohio State atop their power ratings, and the lookahead lines for this theoretical matchup were Ohio State -1 or -1.5. One oddsmaker pointed out that Ohio State playing up to its power score in its dominant first-round win over Tennessee also formed his opening line.

Ohio State opened as a 1- or 1.5-point favorite (depending upon the sportsbook) in this game before reputable money pushed it to the present line of -2.5. A a little greater bulk of wagers at numerous sportsbooks, approximately 60%, are on the Ducks to cover, while near 60% of the money has actually can be found in on the Buckeyes. This will likely be the highest-handle game of the four come kickoff.

"We did take some reputable cash at -1.5, quickly went to -2.5 where it’s remained,” Gable stated. “It’s good two-way action at that number today. The total has actually increased three points from 52.5 to 55.5, which has actually been the greatest relocation of any of the overalls. Money has actually all been on the over up until now.

Joe Brennan, the CEO of Prime sports betting, a sportsbook in Ohio and New Jersey that deals with sharp gamblers, informed The Athletic that “Ohio State opened as a 1-point favorite, and immediately our Ohio gamblers thought we were too low. Our opening rate of Ohio State -1 has actually been driven up to -2.5 and the total from 52 to 55.“

He did note, though, that the book had actually seen substantial buyback at the present line of Ohio State -2.5 and that 52% of the total dollars at his book were taking the points with the Ducks.

GO DEEPER

The most likely upsets for the College Football Playoff’s 2nd round

No. 7 Notre Dame vs. No. 2 Georgia (-1, 45)

The favorite turned in this video game, as Notre Dame opened a 1.5-point favorite and is currently a 1- or 1.5-point underdog at sportsbooks.

What caused the line turn? Basically, the sports betting action.
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Despite the fact that Georgia’s beginning QB Carson Beck is out for the season and has been replaced by relative unidentified Gunner Stockton, bettors are gravitating towards the Bulldogs.

Georgia to cover is the most popular versus the spread wager at BetMGM books nationally in terms of ticket count (second-most popular by overall dollars wagered), and it has been “one-way traffic on Georgia,” according to Magee. Nearly 70% of bets are on the Bulldogs at several sportsbooks.
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